📊 NIFTY Market Outlook – 29 May 2025 (Thursday)
Here's a detailed analysis of the NIFTY based on participant data, price action, and option chain for expiry day:
🔍 Participant Data Insights
- FII: Medium Bearish in Index Futures (-78,987), indecisive in Options
- PRO: Medium Bearish via Call writing (26,972 net calls sold)
- Client: Strongly Bullish in Futures and both Call & Put Options
- DII: Mild Bullish in Index Futures
Summary: Divergence seen – FII/Pro are Bearish, while Clients & DIIs are Bullish.
📈 Price Action (1H Chart)
- Current price: 24,757
- Price is respecting the PDL (24,700) support
- Still within a lower-high structure but forming higher lows
Key Levels:
- Resistance Zones: 24,850 / 24,900 / 25,000–25,100
- Support Zones: 24,700 (PDL), 24,600, 24,450
🔢 Option Chain Analysis (Expiry: 29 May)
- ATM Strike: 24,750
- Support: Put OI at 24,700 (54.9L) and 24,600 (49.4L)
- Resistance: Call OI at 24,800 (97.7L) and 24,900 (108.5L)
- PCR: Above 1 around ATM — indicates Bullish Bias
📌 Conclusion
- Bias: ⚠️ Range-bound to Mildly Bullish
- Expected Range: 24,600 – 24,950
- Support: 24,700 / 24,600
- Resistance: 24,850 / 24,950 / 25,000
If 24,700 breaks, expect a dip toward 24,500–24,450.
If price holds above 24,850–24,900, rally toward 25,000–25,100 likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is an educational analysis. Not investment advice. Trade with proper risk management.
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