🔍 NIFTY Market Analysis for 30 June 2025
Date: Friday, 27 June 2025
Spot Close: 25,637.80 (+0.43%)
Futures Close: 25,662.09
ATM Strike: 25,650
Max Pain: 25,600
PCR: 1.19 (Bullish Bias)
📊 Market Profile Summary (Last 3 Sessions)
- Wednesday, 25 June: Inside day, balanced profile. POC at 25,211. Buyers showed interest near 25,116 zone.
- Thursday, 26 June: Trend Day Up. Breakout above balance. Created single prints between 25,387–25,448.
- Friday, 27 June: Balanced profile at higher ground. POC formed at 25,608. Strong acceptance seen at these highs.
Key Profile Levels to Watch:
- 25,658 – Friday VAH
- 25,608 – Friday POC (strong magnet zone)
- 25,448 – 25,387 – Single Print Support Zone
- 25,293 – Thursday VAL (last accepted area)
- 25,116 – Major composite support
📈 FII/DII & Participant Data – 27 June 2025
- FII: Medium Bullish in Index Futures (1,490 contracts added)
- PRO: Strong Bullish in both Index Futures and Options
- Client: Strong Bearish in Index Options (contrarian indicator)
- DII: Medium Bullish in Index Futures
🔎 Verdict: FII + PRO holding long positions. Clients are short – indicating potential for short covering if price sustains above 25,600.
🔐 Option Chain Analysis (Expiry: 03 July)
- Highest OI Call: 25,800 (resistance)
- Highest OI Put: 25,600 (support)
- Put Writing: Strong buildup seen at 25,500 and 25,600
- IV: 13.0 (Stable)
- PCR: 1.19 → Bullish
📅 Trading Plan for Monday (30 June 2025)
- Opening Above 25,660: Look for bullish continuation. Possible long entry on pullback to 25,620–25,640. Target: 25,720–25,800
- Opening Inside Value (25,589–25,658): Range-bound opening. Fade extremes and play towards POC (25,608)
- Opening Below 25,580: First test of strength. Watch for support at 25,530 or single prints at 25,448–25,387
⚠️ If price accepts below 25,293 → expect deeper correction to 25,116
📌 Conclusion
The market shows strong structure above 25,608 with support building at 25,600. FII and PRO data confirms bullish bias, and option chain reflects confidence from writers at 25,600 Put. Monday’s opening and first hour will define the trend. If price stays above 25,600 → trend continuation is likely.
Trade Setup: Prefer long trades above 25,600. Avoid fresh shorts unless price sustains below 25,387.
Stay disciplined. Wait for confirmation. Follow price structure over emotions.
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