Trade Reversals with Market Profile’s IB Fake-Out

📊 Market Profile Strategy: Fake-Out with IB Value

Market Profile is a powerful tool for understanding intraday structure. This strategy focuses on using the Initial Balance (IB) to identify fake-out opportunities—ideal for range-bound or balanced markets.




✅ Setup Rules

  • IB must be significant – either large or at least of minimum size.
  • No exhaustion tails – indicates unfinished auction, better for reversals.
  • Market should be balanced – avoid trending days for this setup.

📉 Bearish Fake-Out Setup

  1. Wait for the first 1 hour of market to define the IB range.
  2. If IB is formed above the median of the day’s range, watch for a break above IB high.
  3. When price breaks IB high and returns inside the IB range, this indicates a fake-out.
  4. Enter short once price confirms re-entry inside IB.
  5. Target: Low of the IB.

📈 Bullish Fake-Out Setup

  1. Wait for a break below the IB low.
  2. If price returns inside the IB range, this signals a bullish fake-out.
  3. Enter long once price reclaims the IB range.
  4. Target: High of the IB.

🔑 Key Reminders:

  • Use this only in balanced market conditions.
  • Avoid days with strong trend behavior.
  • Fake-outs usually appear when traders overreact to breakouts.

This method helps traders anticipate potential reversals caused by false breakouts of the Initial Balance. Practice it on historical charts before applying it live.

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