Will NIFTY Break Free from the 25,100–25,225 Range (JUNE12)

📈 NIFTY Market Outlook – 12 June 2025

🔍 Overview: NIFTY continues to consolidate inside a tight range of 25,100 to 25,225. Despite attempted breakouts, sellers are active at the top and buyers strong near the lower end. A breakout is likely soon. VIX is calm at 13.7, indicating low fear.

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📊 1. NIFTY Spot & Future Details

• Spot Close: 25,141.40 (+0.10%)
• Open: 25,134.15
• High: 25,222.40
• Low: 25,081.30
• Futures (12 Jun Expiry): 25,119.60
• Lot Size: 75
• India VIX: 13.7 ▼ 0.35

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📉 2. Option Chain Snapshot – Expiry 12 June 2025

Max Pain: 25,100 | Put-Call Ratio (PCR): 0.87

Top CALL Writers:

• 25,100 CE – OI: 0.65 lakh
• 25,150 CE – OI: 0.54 lakh
• 25,200 CE – OI: 0.44 lakh

Top PUT Writers:

• 25,150 PE – OI: 1.01 lakh
• 25,250 PE – OI: 1.71 lakh
• 25,300 PE – OI: 0.98 lakh

ATM Strike: 25,100
Bias: Neutral to Mildly Bearish

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👥 3. Participant Positions – 11 June 2025

FII:

• Index Futures: -48,540 (Bullish Shift: +6,475)
• Index Calls: +2,784 (Strong Buy)
• Index Puts: -2,901 (Heavy Selling)

PRO:

• Index Futures: -10,870 (Added Longs)
• Calls: +1,271 | Puts: +28,755 (Expecting volatility)

CLIENTS:

• Index Futures: +61,537 (Reducing Longs)
• Calls: -4,031 | Puts: +4,371 (Shorting CE, Buying PE)

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📉 4. Price Action Analysis

• Structure: BOS confirmed above 25,209
• Weak High: 25,225 tagged twice — likely breakout zone
• Range: 25,100 (VAL) to 25,225 (VAH)
• Mid Value: 25,127
• RSI: Cooling off to 56

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🧠 5. Trade Plan – 12 June 2025

• Bullish Breakout: Buy above 25,225
  Target: 25,260 / 25,300 • Stop: 25,175
• Bearish Breakdown: Sell below 25,100
  Target: 25,060 / 25,000 • Stop: 25,210
• Inside Range: Trade fade between 25,100–25,225
  Note: Avoid large positions unless volume confirms.

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✅ 6. Checklist Before Open

• Check IB Range in first 15-min
• Watch for IV spike against VIX
• Monitor SGX Nifty for gap-up/gap-down
• Be alert for option OI shift at 25,150 / 25,200

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⚠️ Disclaimer: This blog is for educational use only. Trading involves risk. Consult a registered advisor before acting.

📆 Date: 11 June 2025 | Author: Intraday Analysis by [Your Name]

Happy Trading! 🚀