📊 NIFTY 50 Market Analysis for 25 June 2025
🔎 Market Summary:
Nifty traded with bullish strength on 24 June, forming a normal variation day with a clear upside bias. The market opened within the previous value area, initially remained range-bound, but buyers took control post IB range, driving the price toward day high at 25311.
- Opening Price: ~25034
- High: 25311
- Low: 25018.5
- Close: 25047.55
- POC: 25116
- Value Area: 25018.5 – 25116
The price acceptance above 25100 levels and value shift upward confirms bullish intent. The day ended strong with no significant selling tail at the highs.
📈 Market Profile Insights
- 🟢 POC Shifted Up: Indicates value building at higher prices.
- 📦 Acceptance Above Previous Value: Bullish continuation expected.
- 📉 No Selling Tail: Suggests strong buying interest into the close.
💰 FII/DII Participant Data –
- FII Index Futures: Strong Bearish (-1.06K contracts)
- FII Options: Call Buying Mild Bullish, Put neutral
- PRO & CLIENT: Medium to Strong Bullish in Index Futures & Options
- DII: Index Futures Mild Bullish
🔍 Interpretation: Though FIIs remain bearish in futures, the strong bullish stance from PRO and CLIENT segments signals confidence in upside continuation.
✅ Overall Market Bias with FII Context:
Even though FIIs are bearish in futures, the strong bullish sentiment from PRO and CLIENT participants, along with price acceptance above value, indicates that the market bias remains cautiously bullish for now. However, FII shorts are a warning signal — be alert near resistance zones like 25311.
📊 Option Chain Analysis
- Most OI Call: 25200 CE (43.1L)
- Most OI Put: 25000 PE (15.7L)
- Max Pain: 25000
- PCR (Put/Call Ratio): 0.78 (Bearish to Neutral)
Heavy call writing at 25200 and resistance at 25300 CE. However, put writers are also active at 25000, indicating strong base support.
📌 Key Technical Zones for 25 June 2025
- Support Zones: 25018.5 – 24970 – 24901.5
- Resistance Zones: 25116 – 25250 – 25311
📅 How to Trade on 25 June 2025
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation
- Condition: If price opens above 25100 and sustains
- Buy Entry: 25160–25180 zone
- Target: 25311, 25350+
- Stop Loss: 25090 or below value area
Scenario 2 – Range-Bound Pullback
- Condition: Opens flat and stays in 25050–25100 range
- Buy Near: 25020–25040 if buyers step in
- Target: 25150, 25200
- SL: Below 25000
Scenario 3 – Rejection at Highs
- Condition: Price spikes to 25300+ and gets rejected
- Sell Entry: Near 25300–25310 if reversal candle forms
- Target: 25160 then 25100
- Stop Loss: 25350+
🎯 Final Outlook
✔️ Market Structure: Bullish Bias
✔️ Option Writers favor consolidation between 25000–25250
✔️ Buyer control observed in today’s session
✔️ Wait for first 15–30 mins to confirm structure on 25 June
Trade with strict risk management. Be flexible based on opening and early price action.
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