Nifty Market Profile & FII-DII Analysis – Trade Plan for June 24, 2025
Market Summary:
The Nifty closed at 25079.55 on June 23 with a weak bearish tone in the second half. Price failed to extend Friday’s bullish rally, but still closed above Monday’s value area high (25022). This indicates a potential continuation if price holds above 25040.
🔍 Market Profile Overview
- Wednesday (June 18): Balance day, POC at 24796.5
- Thursday (June 19): Value overlap with 18th, POC at 24808.7
- Friday (June 20): Trend day up, single prints from 24888 to 25040.5, POC at 24961.2
- Monday (June 23): Inside day, closed at 25079.5, POC at 24900.2
Key Levels:
• 25040.5 – Single print top resistance
• 24961.2 – Trend day POC (Friday)
• 24888 – Single print bottom
• 24875 – Monday VAL
• 24778.2 – Visual support
📊 FII/DII Data – June 23
- FII: Strong bearish in Index Futures (-1031 Cr), net bearish across Nifty, Bank Nifty, and FinNifty segments
- DII: Strong bullish in Put Options and net positive bias in Index Options (supportive)
- Client: Medium bullish across Index and Call Options – indicates retail confidence
Interpretation:
FII remains heavily bearish in futures, but Clients and DII are showing bullishness in options – suggesting possible buying at dips if price holds above 24888.
🔐 Option Chain Data
• Max Pain: 25000
• PCR: 0.89 (Neutral to Bearish)
• ATM Strike: 24900
• Resistance Buildup: 25100 CE & 25200 CE
• Support Buildup: 24800 PE & 24900 PE
Inference:
The option chain shows resistance near 25100 and 25200. Strong put writing at 24900 and 24800 may act as intraday support if sustained.
📅 Trade Plan for Tuesday, June 24, 2025
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (If Above 25040.5)
- Entry: Above 25040 (pullback entry)
- Targets: 25119.8 → 25150+
- Stoploss: Below 24960
🔄 Scenario 2: Range-bound/Neutral (Between 24900–25040)
- Plan: Avoid trades inside value area, wait for breakout above 25040 or below 24900
🔻 Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown (If Below 24900)
- Entry: Below 24888
- Targets: 24800 → 24778.2
- Stoploss: Above 24950
📌 Final View:
Monday’s close was above value, but FII futures selling is strong. If 25040 breaks, bulls can take control again. Failure to hold 24888 may trigger downside till 24778. Use first 30 minutes to confirm direction.
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