📈 Nifty 50 Analysis for 26 June 2025 – Market Profile, FII/DII, Price Action & Option Chain
Welcome back traders! This post delivers a full breakdown of Nifty 50 using Market Profile, institutional activity (FII/DII), price action, and the option chain to help you prepare for Thursday, 26 June 2025. Let’s understand what happened in the last 3 sessions and how we can trade tomorrow.
🧠 1. Market Profile Overview (22–25 June)
The Market Profile tells us how price and volume interacted over the last 3 days:
- 📅 23 June (Monday): Balanced profile with low conviction. Value was created between 24963 – 25037. POC at 25007. Price held near the lower distribution, hinting at accumulation. Rejection from 24909 provided strong demand.
- 📅 24 June (Tuesday): Clear upward trending day. Price broke above previous value area high (25037) and formed value between 25030 – 25111 with POC at 25071. This confirms buyer dominance and acceptance at higher levels.
- 📅 25 June (Wednesday): Balanced day with value shift higher. Value Area was 25178 – 25245 with POC at 25212. However, price struggled to break 25300, indicating weak highs and some profit booking.
Key Profile Levels to Watch:
- 📌 Resistance Zone: 25245 – 25299
- 📌 Support Zone: 25111 – 25030
- 📌 Critical Demand: 24969 – 24909
🧠 2. Institutional Activity – FII/DII Data (25 June 2025)
Here’s what the smart money did today:
- 💼 FIIs: Medium bullish in index futures and call options. Net long in Index – positive bias.
- 💹 PROs: Strong bullish positions in both Index Futures and Options – supports upside continuation.
- 👨💻 Clients (Retail): Very strong call writing, which acts as a contra signal – they are bearish.
- 🏛️ DIIs: Mild participation with slightly bullish stance on calls.
🔥 Interpretation: Institutional flow is bullish. Retail crowd is selling the rally via call writing. This usually supports further upside unless there is a strong reversal trigger.
📊 3. Price Action Structure (15-Minute Chart Analysis)
- 🔁 CHoCH (Change of Character) seen on 23rd June followed by BOS (Break of Structure) on the upside on 24th.
- 📈 Higher Highs & Higher Lows formed – bullish structure still intact.
- 📉 Weak High seen at 25300 – price consolidating near PDH (Previous Day High).
- 📦 Demand Zones: 25200–25180 and below at 25000–24950 are strong buying areas if tested again.
Conclusion: Price is in a bullish consolidation phase after a rally. A breakout above 25300 can trigger short covering.
📉 4. Option Chain Analysis – 26 June Expiry
- 📍 Max Pain: 25300 (favors slow upward drift)
- 📊 PCR: 1.10 (mild bullish sentiment)
- 💪 Strong Put Writing: At 25200, 25100 – confirms buyer confidence
- 📉 Strong Call Writing: At 25300, 25400 – resistance overhead
- 🧘 IV: India VIX ~13 and IV percentile is only 21 – ideal for directional movement
Interpretation: The option chain supports a bullish to range-bound setup. Above 25300, CE writers may unwind causing a spike.
🎯 5. Trading Plan for 26 June 2025 (Thursday)
🟢 Bullish Plan:
- Buy above 25245 with SL below 25200
- Target 1: 25299 | Target 2: 25350+
- Confirmation: Opening strength + call unwinding at 25300 CE
🔴 Bearish Plan:
- Sell below 25178 with SL above 25212
- Target 1: 25111 | Target 2: 25030
- Confirmation: Breakdown below range low with increase in PE OI
⚠️ Avoid Trading: In 25200–25245 zone until directional breakout happens.
📌 Final Summary
- Market Structure: Strong bullish base with minor weakness at top
- FII/Pro Sentiment: Bullish
- Client Sentiment: Bearish (contra signal)
- Price Action: HL structure intact with BOS confirmed
- Option Chain: Suggests breakout possible if 25300 breaks
👉 Verdict: Watch 25245–25300 zone. A breakout with volume can result in a trending upside move. Break below 25178 flips sentiment bearish.
Stay safe, trade with logic. Keep risk controlled and review each setup with conviction.
📅 Prepared on: 25 June 2025 | For: 26 June Thursday Session
#niftyanalysis #niftytomorrow #26juneniftysetup #marketprofilenifty #optionchainanalysis #fiidiidata #priceactiontrading #niftytradingblog #intradaylevels #smartmoneyflow #niftychartbreakdown