🔍 Nifty Market Profile & Trading Plan – 27 June 2025
Market Summary: Nifty continued its strong bullish structure, with a sharp trend up over the last 3 sessions. The bulls remained in control, pushing above previous value areas and holding above key POCs.
📊 Market Profile Analysis (23–26 June)
- Monday (24 June): Balanced profile between 25024 – 25102. Low conviction, forming a base for the next move.
- Tuesday (25 June): Double Distribution Day. Value shifted higher (25119 – 25292). Initiation began.
- Wednesday (26 June): Trend Day up. POC moved up to 25306, showing strong buyer interest. Single prints in A-period confirmed aggression.
- Thursday (27 June Preview): Price traded above 25392 (previous VAH), establishing higher ground with developing POC near 25480–25500.
📈 Price Action View
Based on the 15-min price structure:
- Multiple Break of Structures (BOS) on the upside.
- Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) confirm bullish market structure.
- Market is approaching an old gap zone (from October 1), with potential to fill up to 25796.
Key Zone: 25624 (gap midpoint) and 25796 (gap close) act as overhead resistance.
📉 FII/DII & Participant Data (26 June)
Overall FII–DII Bias (as of 26 June 2025)
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Foreign Institutional Investors (FII)
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Bank Nifty index-futures: Strong bullish positioning — clear long build-up.
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Nifty index-futures: Net shorts have been sharply reduced (big positive change in OI), shifting the stance from bearish to neutral-to-bullish.
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Index options: “Medium bullish” tag on put options indicates they are largely short puts / unwinding protective puts, a classic bullish sign. Call-side shows no aggressive shorts.
→ Net takeaway: FIIs are decidedly on the long side; the short-covering plus put-writing combo supports further upside.
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Domestic Institutional Investors (DII)
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Very light in derivatives; all segments flagged indecisive / neutral.
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No meaningful counter-position to the FII longs.
→ Net takeaway: DIIs are effectively flat; they are not fighting the up-move.
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Combined View:
With FIIs pressing bullish bets and DIIs sitting neutral, the institutional tilt is positive for the index, favouring a “buy-on-dips” approach unless fresh data show DIIs turning net sellers or FIIs flipping back to shorts.-
📊 Option Chain Analysis
- Max OI Call: 25600
- Max OI Put: 25500
- PCR (Put/Call Ratio): 1.92 – Indicates strong bullish sentiment
Interpretation: Highest OI buildup at 25500 PE confirms strong put writing. 25600 CE is still a resistance but a breakout may trigger sharp moves toward 25750–25800.
🧭 Trade Plan for 27 June 2025 (Friday)
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Preferred)
- Entry: Buy above 25520–25540 zone
- Target: 25624, then 25796 (gap fill)
- SL: Below 25440 (day structure invalidation)
Scenario 2: Dip Buy Setup
- Buy near: 25392 (prior VAH) or 25420 pullback zone
- Stop-loss: Below 25300
Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown (Low Probability)
- If Nifty opens below 25300 and sustains, expect downside till 25188 or 25100
🎯 Key Levels Summary
| Type | Level |
|---|---|
| Strong Resistance | 25796 (Gap close) oct 1 |
| Minor Resistance | 25624 (Gap Mid) oct 1 |
| Immediate Support | 25420 – 25392 (Pullback zone) |
| Breakdown Support | 25306 / 25188 |
📌 Final View:
Nifty remains in a strong bullish structure with high chances of testing upper gap zones. FII behavior and option data support upward momentum. Buy-on-dip strategy is recommended until the structure breaks below 25300.
🏷️ Tags:
#NiftyAnalysis #MarketProfile #PriceAction #OptionChainAnalysis #FIIData #IntradayTrading #NiftyTomorrow #GapTrading #June27Strategy