Nifty 50 & Futures Analysis for 16 June: Key Levels, CE/PE Entry & Strategy

NIFTY 50 & FUTURES ANALYSIS – 16 JUNE 2025 (FOR 16 JUNE TRADE)

This detailed analysis for 16 June 2025 breaks down both Nifty Spot and Futures charts using price action, Market Profile, and option chain data. Learn key support and resistance zones, entry strategies for CE/PE, and how to react when price touches important auction levels like POC, VAH, and VAL. Whether you're a scalper or positional trader, this blog helps you plan the day with confidence and precision.

Prepared For: Monday, 17 June 2025
Instrument: Nifty Spot & Futures
Timeframe: Intraday (1h, Market Profile, Option Chain)
Analysis Style: Price Action + Market Profile + OI + Participant Bias

🔵 SPOT CHART ANALYSIS (NIFTY 50)

Close: 24,735.55
High-Low: 24,744.95 – 24,709.75
Structure: Price recovered from auction-confirmed zone (24,625–685)

📌 Key Levels:

Support Zones: 24,685 – 24,730 (VA-POC zone), then 24,625 (Auction Confirm)
Resistance Zones: 24,800 – 24,900 (Call OI + Price rejection)

🎯 Entry Plan (Spot):

Buy CE (Long) above: 24,760 (target: 24,800–24,900)
Buy PE (Short) below: 24,625 (target: 24,575 – 24,500)

🟢 FUTURES CHART ANALYSIS (NIFTY JUN FUT)

Close: 24,740.00
High-Low: 24,753.50 – 24,712.30
POC: 24,918 (Old)
VAH/VAL: 24,751 / 24,671

📌 Key Futures Levels:

IB High: 24,753 | IB Low: 24,671
POC: 24,731 | VAL: 24,671 | VAH: 24,751

🎯 Entry Plan (Futures):

Buy CE if price holds 24,685–24,730 and crosses above 24,760
Buy PE below 24,625 only if auction zone breaks

📊 OPTION CHAIN INSIGHT (19 JUN EXPIRY)

Max Pain: 24,800
Call Buildup: 24,800 & 25,000 (Resistance)
Put Support: 24,700 & 24,600
PCR: 0.73 (Bearish to Neutral)

👥 PARTICIPANT DATA – 13 JUNE 2025

FII: Strong Bearish in Index Futures
Client: Strong Bullish in Put Options
DII: Mild Bullish in Options
PRO: Indecisive

📊 FII–DII Data Interpretation (As of 14 June 2025)

Participant	Action	Remarks
FII (Foreign Institutional Investors)	Net Sellers in Index Futures Net Buyers in Index Options (mostly Puts)	Bearish bias, hedging for potential downside
DII (Domestic Institutional Investors)	Net Buyers in Cash Market Light Index Option Longs	Supporting market near lows with selective buying
PRO Traders	Heavy Call Writing above 24,800	Expecting resistance on higher levels
Retail Clients	Buying both Futures and Puts	Mixed view, participating on both sides

📌 Overall Market Bias

Bias: Cautiously Bearish to Neutral
Range: 24,625 – 24,900 is key for Monday
FII pressure on upside likely to cap rallies unless strong buying above 24,900
If market holds above 24,750–24,790, upside continuation possible
Watch: Price reaction at auction levels and open interest shift at 24,800–25,000

📌 SUMMARY STRATEGY FOR MONDAY (17 JUNE)

Bias: Buy on dips towards 24,685–24,730 zone
Trigger Long: Above 24,760 with volume
Short Only: Below 24,625 with breakdown confirmation

🛡️ Risk Management:

SL for longs: 24,625
SL for shorts: Above 24,755

📝 Conclusion:

Nifty remains range-bound between 24,625 – 24,900. Monday can offer breakout opportunities if the auction base is held and price pushes through the upper OI resistance. Traders should observe opening price action carefully and enter based on zone rejection or breakout confirmation.

Happy Trading!
Trade with discipline and always manage your risk.

📈 Nifty Spot Analysis (1-Hour Chart)

Trend: Recovery from auction confirmation zone near 24,625–24,684
Price Action: Market formed a base and closed around 24,735, reclaiming VAL & POC zones

Key Levels:

Support: 24,625 / 24,684 / 24,729
Resistance: 24,857 / 24,899 / 25,235
PDH: 24,754
PDL: 24,473

Entry Ideas:

Buy CE (Calls): If price holds above 24,750 and breaks 24,857 → Target 24,899 / 25,000+
Buy PE (Puts): If price fails below 24,625 → Target 24,473 / 24,350

Strategy Note: If market touches auction zone (24,625–24,684) and forms a reversal candle or bullish structure (like engulfing or hammer), then it is a good low-risk long entry. SL just below 24,625 with target back to POC/PDH.

📊 Nifty Futures Analysis (1-Hour Chart)

Trend: Futures closed just above POC and inside VA range, suggesting neutrality after recovery.
Price Action: Futures formed a reversal near 24,671 and closed at 24,740.

Futures Key Levels:

Support: 24,671 / 24,700
Resistance: 24,918 / 25,008 / 25,100

IB Values (from Market Profile):

IB High: 24,753
IB Low: 24,671
VAH: 24,918
VAL: 24,671
POC: 24,790

Entry Plan:

Buy CE: If future holds above 24,790 & breaks 24,918 → Target 25,008 / 25,100+
Buy PE: If future breaks 24,671 and fails to hold → Target 24,575 / 24,500

Trade Logic: If price tests POC (24,790) or VAL (24,671) and shows reversal (wick rejection, bullish candle, volume spike), we consider entering in direction of rejection.

📌 Option Chain Summary (19th June Expiry)

Max Pain: 24,800
PCR: 0.73 (Neutral to Mild Bearish)
OI Build-up: Strong PE writing at 24,700 & 24,600 suggests support
Call writers active: at 24,800 & 25,000 levels

Interpretation: If price sustains above 24,800, short covering likely. Failure may keep it in 24,600–24,900 range.

🔍 Participant Data (13 June)

FII: Bearish in Index Futures, Mild Bullish in Nifty Options
Pro: Bearish bias, aggressive in Put Options
Client: Strong Bullish Index Futures & PE positions
DII: Mild Bullish overall

Conclusion: Mixed sentiment. If 24,750–24,790 holds, CE buy is favored. Break below 24,671 will trigger PE entry.

📌 Trade Setup Recap – What to Do if Key Levels Are Touched?

If price touches the auction or value area lows (like 24,625–24,684 in spot or 24,671 in futures):

✅ Wait for confirmation (bullish candle, reversal, volume spike)
🔁 Re-entry if first move fails but price reclaims level
🎯 Target back to POC / VAH / round numbers (24,750–25,000)
❌ If breaks auction low, don’t hold — reverse to PE entry

📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a trading recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trade at your own risk.