NIFTY 18 June Outlook: FII Data, Price Action, and Key Trades

🔍 NIFTY Intraday Analysis – 18 June 2025


📌 SPOT Chart Analysis (NIFTY)



  • Structure: BOS (Break of Structure) was seen on 16 June after a sharp bounce. A lower high (LH) formed near 24970.
  • Current Price: 24,859 (as of close on 17 June)
  • Resistance Zone:
    • PDH zone: 24,950 – 25,000
    • Strong supply at 25,100 (marked as Strong High)
  • Support Zone:
    • 24,750 – 24,780 (Green demand block)
    • 24,600 – 24,650 (Major swing support)

📈 Spot Trading Plan:

  • Buy CE: If price sustains above 24,950 with volume and breaks PDH, target 25,050–25,100
  • Buy PE: If price breaks below 24,750 and fails to recover, target 24,600–24,550

📌 Futures Chart Analysis (NIFTY1!)


  • Value Areas from Market Profile (17 June):
    • POC: 24,832.5
    • VAH: 24,895.5
    • VAL: 24,811.5
  • Observation: Market traded in a narrow range, forming a balanced profile. Value area compressed; initiative sellers rejected price above 24,900.

📈 Futures Trading Plan:

  • Buy CE: If opens above 24,895 and sustains above VAH, target 24,969 (previous rejection level) and 25,020
  • Buy PE: If breaks 24,810 and sustains below VAL, target 24,700 and 24,600

💼 Participant Data (FII/DII/Client) - 17 June

  • FII:
    • Index Futures: Mild Bearish overall, but BankNifty shows medium bullish positions
    • Put Options: Writing seen (1.77 lakh net), suggesting downside protection is being sold
  • Client: Long bias continues in both Futures and Options
  • DII: Strong bullish stance through aggressive Put writing

🧠 Interpretation: Mixed to mildly bullish undertone. If Nifty holds above POC and VAH, fresh long positions could develop. FII mildly hesitant, but DII confidence supports upside.


🔑 Key Levels for 18 June

Type Level Action
Spot Resistance 24,950 – 25,000 Watch for CE breakout above
Spot Support 24,750 – 24,780 Watch for PE entry on breakdown
Futures POC 24,832.5 Magnet level for intraday moves
Futures VAH 24,895.5 Resistance; breakout gives CE trade
Futures VAL 24,811.5 Breakdown may trigger PE trade

📌 Final Thoughts

Nifty is in a compression phase post strong recovery. Price acceptance above 24,900 can bring bullish continuation; rejection can trigger retest of 24,700–24,600 support. Traders should monitor volume and price action at value areas closely.


📢 Disclaimer

This blog is for educational purposes only. Please trade with strict risk management and consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any positions.

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